2016-04-27 / Political Page

Last 15 Contests May Upset Trump Bandwagon

Donald Trump boasts every time he wins a primary race that he’s unbeatable, no one else can get the 1,237 delegates, so why don’t the Republican Party big wigs cave in and declare him the winner right now, before the GOP convention.

Well, it’s because he’s bluffing of course, and maybe the Republican bosses might cave in and declare him the winner before the 15 remaining races are run. Or maybe they know he’s not a sure bet and these last few races will sorely test him and he may not be the clear winner he claims to be.

We don’t think so. We think he’ll have to run these final races, beginning with last night’s 5 primaries and ending on June 7 in California with a 172-delegate pot mostly going to the winner.

Trump will surely be in those 15 races, but just as surely so will Ted Cruz and John Kasich, because they’ll continue to play a big part of the story.

Trump is looking for the GOP establishment to coronate him without taking 15 more challenges, and they haven’t caved in yet. So Trump’s got to run in these final 15 states and maybe he’ll come out with the 1,237 delegates and maybe he won’t,... Trump is looking for the GOP establishment to coronate him without taking 15 more challenges, and they haven’t caved in yet. So Trump’s got to run in these final 15 states and maybe he’ll come out with the 1,237 delegates and maybe he won’t,... Trump, at this point, has 845 delegates in his pot, so he needs 392 delegates more to reach the magic number – 1,237.

In the 15 primary contests remaining until June 7 in California, Trump must win the first 10, including Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Maryland etc. and also Indiana (57 delegates) and W. Virginia, Nebraska, Oregon and Washington.

These first 10 states collectively have 371 delegates, so adding that to the 845 Trump went in with, it comes out to 1,216 delegates, which means he has to go after California, New Jersey (51) delegates and 3 smaller states.

But wait a minute… one paragraph back, we gave him 371 delegates from 10 states, including Pennsylvania (71) Indiana (57), Washington (44). There certainly will be strong fights from Cruz and Kasich… (some writers we’ve read predict Cruz or Kasich will win it and both will share the spoils). The point is, we repeat, we gave him the first 10 states and 371 delegates and we all know it’s not going to go down like that.

The point is, Trump is looking for the GOP establishment to coronate him without taking 15 more challenges, and they haven’t caved in yet. So Trump’s got to run in these final 15 states and maybe he’ll come out with the 1,237 delegates and maybe he won’t, so maybe he’ll go into the Cleveland convention wearing a crown or maybe just his blond hair.

If Trump is such a sure winner with 15 more states to deal with, why does he have to keep whining and accusing the establishment of not treating him kindly? Meanwhile, they refuse to take the bait and make him the winner and forget the primary elections that must be held between April 26 and June 7.

Maybe Trump had these final battles in mind when he said wistfully after his huge NYS wipeout a week or so ago.

“We don’t have much of a race anymore,” he said in his victory speech on April 19, finishing the sentence. “We’re going to go into the convention I think as a winner.”

CROWLEY OFFERS HELP FOR ECUADOR: Reps. Joe Crowley (D–Queens, The Bronx), Vice Chair of the Democratic Caucus, and Dan Donovan (R–NY), announced the introduction of a resolution (H.Res.689) in support of the people of Ecuador following the devastating earthquake that struck the country over the weekend, killing hundreds of people and injuring thousands. On April 19 it was announced that Ecuador has requested U.S. assistance in the wake of the earthquake.

“I continue to pray for the people of Ecuador and all those affected by this horrible tragedy. The loss of life in Ecuador is tragic for the country, as well as for the Ecuadorian- American community here in the U.S.” said Crowley. “The road to recovery will be long and difficult for the people of Ecuador, and I’m pleased that the U.S. government had pledged assistance. Our resolution is a signal to the people of Ecuador that the U.S. Congress also stands with them in the wake of this tragedy.”

“New Yorkers have experienced the tragic destruction of a natural disaster first-hand, and we stand with Ecuador in their time of need. Thank you to Congressman Crowley for his work on this resolution. Of course, our offices are here to assist constituents trying to reach loved ones in Ecuador,” said Donovan.

NOLAN ON ELKS LODGE LANDMARK: “I am disappointed by the decision of the NYC Landmarks Commission to not landmark the Elks Lodge. This building is truly a unique structure and its history deserves to be saved so that future generations of residents of Long Island City and Queens can continue to enjoy it. We are a city of neighborhoods and we must continue to preserve the character of our community that we have fought so hard to protect.”

MENG HONORS FIRST WOMAN CONGRESSMEMBER: Legislation sponsored by Congressmembers Grace Meng and Ryan Zinke (R–Montana) to honor the 100th anniversary of the first woman elected to Congress was passed the night of April 18 by the House of Representatives. The bill now heads to the U.S. Senate.

The 100 Years of Women in Congress Act seeks to pay tribute to former Congresswoman Jeannette Rankin (R-Montana) who was elected to the House in 1916, before women even had the right to vote. The measure would rename the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s “Women and Minorities in STEM Fields Program (WAMS)” to the “Jeannette Rankin Women and Minorities in STEM Fields Program.” Rankin, having graduated with a Bachelor of Science degree in biology in 1902, was a pioneer in STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics).

“U.S. Rep. Jeannette Rankin was a pioneer whose historic election paved the way for women to serve in Congress,” said Meng (D–Queens). “This legislation is the perfect vehicle to pay tribute to her legacy, and ensure that the achievements she made are not forgotten. I thank my colleagues in the House for agreeing, and I look forward to continuing to work with Rep. Zinke on this important and bipartisan effort.”

“Rep. Rankin was a true Montanan, embodying the pioneer spirit we know and love,” said Zinke. “Rankin led the way for women in both STEM and politics. She was the first woman ever elected to the House of Representatives, and that was at a time in our nation when many women didn’t even have the right to vote. She was a famously spirited debater and leading women’s suffrage advocate. Not being content blazing trails in just one field, Rankin was also a gifted scientific mind having graduated from the University of Montana with a biology degree. This grant program is an important tool for young women of today to continue their education in STEM and possibly break new ground and blaze new trails for the young women of tomorrow.”

If renamed, the program would remain a competitive initiative which provides grants to colleges and universities that encourage women and minorities to pursue degrees and careers in STEM fields. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, women make up 47 percent of the total U.S. workforce. Although gains have been made in STEM fields, women still comprise only 39 percent of chemists and material scientists, 28 percent of environmental scientists and geoscientists, 16 percent of chemical engineers and 12 percent of civil engineers.

Born in 1880, Jeannette Rankin represented the state of Montana in the House. She was elected on November 7, 1916, almost four years prior to ratification of the Constitution’s 19th Amendment, which gave women the right to vote. Rankin also had ties to New York City. She helped organize the New York Women's Suffrage Party and worked for the National American Woman Suffrage Association, which was headquartered in New York City. She also attended the New York School of Philanthropy which became part of Columbia University.

ADDABBO SPONSORS FREE LEGAL ADVICE EVENT: Residents in central and southern Queens will have the opportunity to receive free advice from legal professionals next month when Senator Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. hosts a mobile help center in partnership with the New York Legal Assistance Group.

Addabbo (D–Howard Beach) said that from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m. on Friday, May 6, the NYLAG mobile help center will be outside the Little Dolphin School, located at 107-01 Cross Bay Boulevard in Ozone Park, to give free legal advice to local residents on a wide range of civil issues. Staff on board will be available to discuss topics including housing (for tenants only), foreclosure, public benefits, disability benefits, healthcare benefits, identity theft, debt management, consumer credit, immigration, domestic violence, divorce, custody and visitation, child support, employment and Superstorm Sandy cases.

“Many issues like housing or health care can often be complex and are much easier to weather with the help and guidance of a knowledgeable attorney who specializes in these areas,” said Addabbo. “Unfortunately, legal help is rarely free and many people do not have access to the quality legal advice that everyone should have the opportunity to obtain. No matter what the topic is, everyone facing a legal battle should be equipped with the proper tools and knowledge to fight back.

“By bringing the NYLAG Mobile Legal Help Center to different sites throughout my district, my constituents are offered the chance to not only have free consultations with quality professionals about a tough legal problem they may be facing, but they can do it close to home and at a time that is convenient for them. I thank NYLAG for helping to coordinate this event for the public and urge all my constituents to take advantage of this great opportunity to receive free legal help,” Addabbo said.

Those who wish to speak with a legal professional must schedule an appointment prior to the May 6 event date, by calling Addabbo’s Howard Beach Office at 718-738-1111.

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